ASEAN Predicted to Be Net Importer of Natural Gas by 2025

Posted by Asia Views | Jul 28, 2023 | 0 |

JakartaGlobe-July 28

ASEAN is forecast to be importing more natural gas than it exports as soon as 2025, thus potentially affecting the region’s energy security, according to an expert. “ASEAN is projected to become a net importer of natural gas by 2025,” Nuki Agya Utama, the executive director of the think-tank ASEAN Center for Energy (ACE), said at a press briefing in Jakarta on Thursday. ACE’s projections for ASEAN’s high natural gas imports took into account the region’s lack of significant additions to the existing production infrastructure and continuous use of fossil fuel. Nuki added: “ASEAN being a net gas importer is bound to happen sooner or later.” According to Nuki, rising gas imports will likely lead to soaring energy prices. The further the country that ASEAN is buying its natural gas from, the higher the logistics costs will be. This eventually affects the energy prices within the region. ASEAN in 2002 inked a memorandum of understanding (MoU) for an interconnected gas pipeline infrastructure. The project, popularly known as the Trans-ASEAN Gas Pipeline, has connected more than 3,600 kilometers of gas pipelines across member states. The connections are bilateral in nature such as the South Sumatra-Singapore linkage. ACE’s freshly launched 2023 ASEAN Oil and Gas Updates report revealed that the Southeast Asian bloc was still a net gas exporter last year. Its gas exports last year totaled 51 million tons, of which 80 percent went to non-ASEAN regions. Countries outside ASEAN supplied 11.8 million tons of natural gas to the regional grouping last year. Australia supplied 46 percent of ASEAN’s total natural gas imports that came from outside the region. According to ACE, Thailand and Singapore are shipping in more natural gas than they export. Indonesia’s natural gas reserves stood at 1.03 trillion cubic meters as of 2022, marking a 14.2 percent decline from 1.2 trillion cubic meters the previous year, the report showed. Read more at: https://jakartaglobe.id/business/asean-predicted-to-be-net-importer-of-natural-gas-by-2025

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EXTRICATING NDONESIAN CHILDREN FROM ISIS INFLUENCE ABROAD

Indonesia urgently needs to revisit the possibility of repatriating the neediest of its young citizens stranded abroad, whose families had earlier joined ISIS. Most of these children are in camps in northern Syria but there are also small numbers in the Philippines, Afghanistan and Iraq. “Extricating Indonesian Children from ISIS Influence Abroad”, the latest report from the Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC) argues that the government could begin by bringing back small groups of unaccompanied children under ten years of age, who pose minimal security risk and are most vulnerable to deteriorating conditions in the camps.“The problem is that health and security conditions are worsening by the day in the Syrian camps, and the children are growing older,” says Dyah Kartika, IPAC analyst. “They need access to schools, a nurturing environment, and medical attention. If the government waits too long, the children will be further exposed to ISIS ideology.” The new report examines a 2019 list of Indonesians in camps and prisons run by the Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). The Indonesian government has been trying to verify their citizenship, but with pseudonyms, misspellings and bad transliterations, it is a daunting task. At the time the data was collected, between March and June 2019, there were 555 Indonesians in SDF camps and prisons, including 367 children. Among the children, approximately 277 were under the age of ten and 34 were unaccompanied. In June 2021, there are fewer than ten children who are both unaccompanied and under the age of ten that could be prioritized for return. Bringing back children of ISIS families is no easy task. The report analyses the main challenges faced by the Indonesian government. These include definitional issues, bureaucratic competition, the difficulty of verifying nationality, evaluating the toll of exposure to conflict, assessing security risk, and finding relatives or others willing to provide care once the children are returned. In addition, COVID has meant stringent restrictions on travel, placing further obstacles in the way of repatriation. There are several models for rehabilitation of children exposed to violent extremism in Indonesia that could be modified to accommodate the needs of children repatriated from abroad. The report examines these models and argues that the government does not need to have every detail of rehabilitation programs in place before it starts extricating children from ISIS influence. It can start by bringing back the most vulnerable children and then modify programs as needed.

“It’s important that the government see these children as victims” says Dyah. “They deserve a chance to be children again.”

ASEAN Predicted to Be Net Importer of Natural Gas by 2025

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