NationThailand-Dec 15
Thailand’s post-election landscape remains a three-way contest between the People’s Party, Bhumjaithai and Pheu Thai, with support for all three continuing to soften. Within the next 60 days, Thais are expected to see which party wins the election — and whether the country gets a new prime minister or keeps the current one.
However, forming a new government officially could take until April–May 2026. That would mean Anutin Charnvirakul, leader of the Bhumjaithai Party, would remain as caretaker prime minister until a new premier is in place. Election campaigning is now effectively under way. Looking ahead to the general election in late January or early February 2026, the post-election picture is expected to be dominated by a fierce contest among three major parties — a “Three Kingdoms” of Thai politics — battling for the top three spots.
This is reflected in the latest quarterly political popularity survey by NIDA Poll (Q4 2025), conducted by the National Institute of Development Administration. The poll surveyed 2,500 people aged 18 and over nationwide across regions, education levels, occupations and income groups between December 4–12, 2025.
As the presumed front-runner for the coming general election, the People’s Party moved early by unveiling three prime ministerial candidates on November 23, 2025 — before the House was dissolved. Read more at:
